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Two exit polls predict hung House
in UP, put BSP in first place
BY OUR POLITICAL CORRESPONDENT
May 1O, 2007
Two exit polls have predicted a
hung Assembly in Uttar Pradesh, with
the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), led by
former chief minister Mayawati,
emerging as the single largest party.
The staggered Assembly elections to
the Uttar Pradesh Assembly concluded
on May 8, 2007.
The two surveys projected little or no
improvement in the position of the
Congress Party despite heavy
electioneering by Rahul Gandhi, MP,
and son of Congress president Sonia
Gandhi.
One survey placed the Samajwadi Party
(SP), led by Chief Minister Mulayam
Singh, as the second largest party.
The other survey gave the second place
to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP).
According to the exit poll conducted
by Star News-Nielsen, the Samajwadi
Party may get 96 seats in the 402-seat
Uttar Pradesh Assembly while the main
Opposition, the Bahujan Samaj Party,
would be the single largest party with
137 seats.
The survey showed that the Bharatiya
Janata Party may win 108 seats, with
the Congress way behind with just 27
seats, an insignificant increase than
its previous share of 25 seats in the
2002 elections.
The exit poll conducted by CNN-IBN and
The Indian Express projected
that the Bahujan Samaj Party would
score 152 seats to 168 seats, followed
by the Samajwadi Party with 145 seats,
and the Bharatiya Janata Party
finishing the third with 108 seats.
The survey by CNN-IBN and The
Indian Express projected the
Congress to win between 21 seats and
27 seats.
Both the surveys agreed that the
Samajwadi Party had improved its
position in the last phase, which was
completed on May 8, 2007.
While the Star News-Nielsen exit poll
put the vote share of the Bahujan
Samaj Party at 26.2% and a swing of
3.2%, the survey by CNN-IBN and The
Indian Express gave a vote share
of 29% and a swing of 6% for the
party.
Both the surveys put the vote share
for the Congress between 10.3% and
11%.
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