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The war of India's mobile operators

Just when we thought we had reached the bottom, cellphone tariffs have crashed again. The Reliance blitz with 60% rate reduction set off an avalanche of rate cuts across the spectrum. Dancewithshadows.com joins the party and raises a toast to competition.|

 

BY JM

Tring tring! Don't ignore, that call is yours. Wake up, pick up the cell, the tariffs have crashed again. If you thought cellphone rates were not going to go down any further, hop on, there is there is way to go. Take the call!

The latest episode in the Indian mobile rate war started when Reliance Infocomm pulled the trigger a few weeks back with a massive 60% cut in tariffs for prepaid Reliance IndiaMobile (RIM) cell users across its network. Reliance prepaid call costs came down to 99 paise as against Rs 2.49 before. The Reliance move rattled the entire cell spectrum.

The first one to take on the Reliance juggernaut was Bharti Televentures (which owns AirTel and AirTel Magic)), which unleashed its own reduced tariffs. The GSM major kicked up dust, and others followed suit. Airtel announced AirtelOne 150 plan, where a call to any GSM cellular network is charged at Rs 2 per minute under post-paid category. Under the pre-paid category of AirtelOne 150 plan, a call to any cell or WLL or fixed line is charged at Rs 2.25 per minute.

Reliance had announced a tariff of Rs 1.79-per-minute for a call to any cell under the pre-paid category and Re 1 per minute to any cell under the post-paid category.

 The next one to jump into the fray was the state-owned telecom behemoth Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd (BSNL), which operates CellOne cellular services across the country except in Delhi and Mumbai, apart from land lines and a host of other value-added services. The new BSNL rates undercut Reliance and the discounts were for cell and land phone users as well. Aggression personified, the PSU giant went straight for the jugular, with a reduction in domestic long distance rates as well. Hutch (which operates Orange and Hutch brands) and BPL Mobile followed suit and before one knew it, the rates had crashed to levels unheard of even in the global telephony market.

 The next to don battle paint was MTNL, another PSU blue-chip and BSNL's city cousin. MTNL operates telecom networks in Delhi and Mumbai under its brand Dolphin and prepaid brand Trump. MTNL slashed cell-to-cell rates by about 37% in the postpaid segment and about 28% in the prepaid segment. It also slashed STD rates for both cellular and landline services by up to 50% in the over 500 km slab to Rs 2.40 a minute. Also, for local calls to mobile networks, the pulse duration was revised from 60 to 90 seconds, effectively halving the tariff. “In Delhi and Mumbai, we are the cheapest,” preened MTNL chairman and managing director RSP Sinha.

 Continuing the tariff war, Tata Indicom followed by cutting its prices by 33 per cent for calls in both intra and inter-circle calls. The company has reduced intra-circle call rates to Rs 1.20 with a 60-second pulse rate, compared to the earlier rate of Rs 1.80. The new rates are applicable for Tata Indicom fixed wireless, wireline and public telephone booth tariffs. Tata Indicom is the telecom umbrella brand of Tata group companies, which provides CDMA based wireless services apart from broadband services. The call rates for inter-circle calls have been slashed to Rs 2.40 per minute to any number above 50 km from the prevailing Rs 3.60. At the time of uploading this article, almost all Indian cellular and landline operators have undertaken massive rate cuts.

 It's literally talk time for us consumers, but is the cut-throat rate war good or bad? Memories of 1997 come to mind, when Reliance Infcomm was yet to be born, when the Mumbai cellular market was dominated by only two players who had comfortably carved out the market between themselves. Users from those days recollect how the rate changes of both Hutch and BPL were almost identical so that customers had little to choose from. If you are unsatisfied with BPL, you go to Hutch which offered identical tariffs. The cellular market was an oligarchy.

 The scene changed with the grand entry of MTNL and AirTel. MTNL sported cheaper cell tariffs, but trailed others in terms of customer service and coverage. Besides, other cell operators in the country ostracised MTNL for not being with the Cellular Operators Association of India (COAI). Those days were the days when the GSM-CDMA battle was picking up momentum. MTNL tried to ride both the horses with Garuda CDMA in one hand and Dolphin in the other. Consequently, when other GSM operators sewed up roaming tie-ups with other operators, the Dolphin user could swim only in Delhi and Mumbai pools.

 Even as the GSM-CDMA battle unfolded in the background, it was happening days in the cellular services industry. As more and more operators came in, the oligarchies collapsed and the rates started declining. Mobile phone usage was no longer and expensive affair. With the installation of the Calling Party Pays (CPP) system, the last hurdle to mobile expansion disappeared. Now, telecom operators realised the potential size of the market and dived in.

 The battle was taken to the next level with the birth of Reliance Infocomm, which undercut all existing players with rates unheard so far. The company's aggressive sales and marketing made it one of the country's biggest wireless operators almost overnight. Cellular operators cried foul, saying Reliance was using licence for land telephony to provide wireless services. The battle went to the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, the Telecom Dispute Settlement Appellate Tribunal and finally, the Supreme Court, where Reliance won the battle. Forking out a licence fee of Rs 10,000 crore, Reliance migrated to the newly-installed Unified Licence regime.

 All through the battle, cellphone tariffs declined steadily. The deep cuts started bleeding the small fry. It was time for consolidation in the cellular space. The Birla-Tata-AT&T consortium, which was a loose entity, coalesced into Idea Cellular. Escotel, which had limited operations in Kerala and Punjab joined the Idea embrace and merged into it. BPL bought out AT&T's stake in its JV BPL Cellular. Skycell in Tamil Nadu was taken over by Bharti and renamed AirTel. AirCel, a Sivasankaran-promoted cell operator in Tamil Nadu, in December 2003 bought RPG Cellular. Later in June 2004, AirCel was in turned acquired by Hutch in one of biggest acquisitions in Indian telecom history estimated at Rs 1,600 crore. In another deal, Singapore Technologies Telemedia Pte and Telekom Malaysia Bhd jointly bought a one-third stake in Idea.

 Analysts say cell tariff cuts are necessary as operators roll out networks in new markets. Meanwhile, the smaller players, even the efficient ones, get pushed outside, since they can't match the scale and synergies of the big boys on the scene. In the short to medium term, expect more price cuts. The Dhirubhai Ambani Plan (remember STD at 40 paisa/minute?) and other marketing pushes are believed to have brought Reliance Infocomm to dire financial straits, but the company sure has lots of sleeves up its sleeve. Expect BSNL to match, if not better, Reliance rates at every stage. If push comes to shove, BSNL & MTNL can unleash a no-profit blitzkrieg and drive Reliance and others out of the market. Profit is not their primary concern. Once the BSNL-MTNL merger becomes a reality -- which seems quite real now -- the nationwide scale and synergies will enable the combined entity to take a quantum leap. Expect fewer, smarter, mobile players in the future offering schemes that more people can make sense of.

 Quaint are the ways of the market, isn't it?  From the oligarchy of early cellular days, competition threw up a dozen operators, many of which are now merging into the bigger players. Telecom experts believe that the number of cell players in India will come down to a lean mean set of about 4-5 from about a dozen now. But don't fear a 1997 rewind. Competition has come home to stay. And it's not going to go -- the rentals have crashed, you see!

  BY JM













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